TR
Picks
La Liga · Matchday 24Sunday 14 February · 16:00 · Estadio Ciudad de Valencia
Levante18th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Málaga20th place
LEV 60%X 23%MAL 16%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Levante lead by 82 rating points.
  • Levante take 2.1 points per game at home.
  • If Levante score first, they win 82% of the time
  • If Málaga score first, they win 44% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.0 – 0.9
Over 2.555%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-0 is the likeliest score within a Levante win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
160%1.66X23%4.31216%6.09
Double chance
1X84%1.20X240%2.521277%1.30
Goals
Over 2.555%1.81Under 2.545%2.23BTTS yes53%1.89BTTS no47%2.12

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Levante · Columns: Málaga1-1 probability 10.9%
LevanteDDWLL
MálagaLDLDL

Head to head

Málaga – Levante6 September 20260-0