TR
Picks
La Liga · Matchday 24Sunday 14 February · 16:00 · Estadio Martínez Valero
Elche17th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Deportivo8th place
ELC 44%X 28%DEP 28%

Prediction

  • If Elche score first, they win 73% of the time
  • If Deportivo score first, they win 59% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.1
Over 2.548%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Elche win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
144%2.25X28%3.56228%3.64
Double chance
1X72%1.38X256%1.801272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.548%2.08Under 2.552%1.93BTTS yes53%1.89BTTS no47%2.12

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Elche · Columns: Deportivo1-1 probability 13.2%
ElcheWDDWL

Head to head

Deportivo – Elche17 August 20261-1