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La Liga · Matchday 24Sunday 14 February · 16:00 · Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Sevilla6th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Espanyol14th place
SEV 48%X 28%ESP 24%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Sevilla take 2.0 points per game at home.
  • If Sevilla score first, they win 76% of the time
  • If Espanyol score first, they win 56% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.0
Over 2.546%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Sevilla win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
148%2.07X28%3.60224%4.21
Double chance
1X76%1.31X252%1.941272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.546%2.16Under 2.554%1.86BTTS yes50%1.99BTTS no50%2.01

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Sevilla · Columns: Espanyol1-1 probability 13.1%

Form

Compare →
SevillaLDLWL

Head to head

Espanyol – Sevilla6 September 20261-1
Sevilla – Espanyol9 May 20262-1
Espanyol – Sevilla24 November 20252-1
Sevilla – Espanyol25 January 20251-1
Espanyol – Sevilla25 October 20240-2
Sevilla – Espanyol4 May 20233-2