TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Championship · Matchday 12Saturday 24 October · 15:00 · bet365 Stadium
Stoke City7th place
Full time0-0Rinvalo's pick: 1-0✕ Missed
Bristol City14th place
STK 38%X 29%BRC 33%

What does the market say?

Stoke CityDrawBristol CityRinvalo38%29%33%
Market40%28%31%

✓ Agree · both back Stoke City

Prediction

Predicted: 1-0
Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Stoke City 2.6 points per game, Bristol City 1.8.
  • If Stoke City score first, they win 69% of the time
  • If Bristol City score first, they win 65% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.2
Over 2.544%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Stoke City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
138%2.65X29%3.42233%3.03
Double chance
1X67%1.49X262%1.611271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.544%2.27Under 2.556%1.79BTTS yes51%1.98BTTS no49%2.02

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Stoke City · Columns: Bristol City0-0 probability 9.6% · final score

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Stoke City – Bristol City24 October 20260-0
Bristol City – Stoke City2 May 20262-0
Stoke City – Bristol City1 November 20255-1
Bristol City – Stoke City12 February 20252-0
Stoke City – Bristol City22 October 20242-2
Stoke City – Bristol City4 May 20244-0