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Championship · Matchday 26Saturday 16 January · 15:00 · The Valley
Charlton Athletic20th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Watford21st place
CHA 42%X 29%WAT 29%

Prediction

  • If Charlton Athletic score first, they win 73% of the time
  • If Watford score first, they win 62% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.0
Over 2.541%
Both teams score47%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Charlton Athletic win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
142%2.39X29%3.43229%3.44
Double chance
1X71%1.41X258%1.721271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.541%2.45Under 2.559%1.69BTTS yes47%2.11BTTS no53%1.90

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Charlton Athletic · Columns: Watford1-1 probability 14.0%

Form

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Head to head

Watford – Charlton Athletic17 October 20262-0
Watford – Charlton Athletic6 April 20261-1
Charlton Athletic – Watford9 August 20251-0