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Championship · Matchday 26Saturday 16 January · 15:00 · LNER Stadium
Lincoln City16th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Medium confidence
Millwall12th place
LIN 27%X 26%MIL 47%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Millwall lead by 118 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Millwall 0.5, Lincoln City -0.1.
  • If Lincoln City score first, they win 57% of the time
  • If Millwall score first, they win 73% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.6
Over 2.551%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Millwall win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
127%3.72X26%3.78247%2.14
Double chance
1X53%1.88X273%1.371274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.551%1.95Under 2.549%2.05BTTS yes55%1.82BTTS no45%2.22

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lincoln City · Columns: Millwall1-1 probability 12.7%

Form

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Head to head

Millwall – Lincoln City17 October 20262-2