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Championship · Matchday 26Saturday 16 January · 15:00 · MATRADE Loftus Road
QPR9th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Birmingham City6th place
QPR 39%X 28%BIR 33%

Prediction

  • If QPR score first, they win 68% of the time
  • If Birmingham City score first, they win 63% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.3
Over 2.549%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a QPR win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
139%2.58X28%3.56233%3.01
Double chance
1X67%1.50X261%1.631272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.549%2.05Under 2.551%1.95BTTS yes54%1.85BTTS no46%2.18

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: QPR · Columns: Birmingham City1-1 probability 13.3%

Form

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Head to head

Birmingham City – QPR17 October 20263-0
Birmingham City – QPR11 March 20261-0
QPR – Birmingham City9 December 20252-1
QPR – Birmingham City29 March 20242-1
Birmingham City – QPR22 September 20230-0
QPR – Birmingham City18 March 20230-1