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Championship · Matchday 26Saturday 16 January · 15:00 · Fratton Park
Portsmouth11th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Norwich City15th place
POR 40%X 28%NOR 32%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Portsmouth 2.2 points per game, Norwich City 1.2.
  • If Portsmouth score first, they win 69% of the time
  • If Norwich City score first, they win 62% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.3
Over 2.550%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Portsmouth win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
140%2.53X28%3.51232%3.13
Double chance
1X68%1.47X260%1.651272%1.40
Goals
Over 2.550%1.99Under 2.550%2.01BTTS yes55%1.81BTTS no45%2.23

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Portsmouth · Columns: Norwich City1-1 probability 13.1%

Form

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Head to head

Norwich City – Portsmouth17 October 20260-1
Norwich City – Portsmouth3 April 20261-1
Portsmouth – Norwich City16 August 20251-2
Norwich City – Portsmouth18 April 20253-5
Portsmouth – Norwich City10 December 20240-0