TR
Picks
Championship · Matchday 26Saturday 16 January · 15:00 · Bramall Lane
Sheffield United10th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Bristol City14th place
SHU 44%X 28%BRC 27%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Sheffield United 2.0 points per game, Bristol City 1.0.
  • If Sheffield United score first, they win 73% of the time
  • If Bristol City score first, they win 59% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.1
Over 2.546%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Sheffield United win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
144%2.25X28%3.56227%3.64
Double chance
1X73%1.38X256%1.801272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.546%2.17Under 2.554%1.86BTTS yes51%1.95BTTS no49%2.05

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Sheffield United · Columns: Bristol City1-1 probability 13.4%

Head to head

Bristol City – Sheffield United17 October 20260-1
Bristol City – Sheffield United6 April 20261-0
Sheffield United – Bristol City9 August 20251-4
Sheffield United – Bristol City11 March 20251-1
Bristol City – Sheffield United5 November 20241-2
Sheffield United – Bristol City18 April 20231-0