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Serie A · Matchday 32Sunday 18 April · 17:30 · Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Como4th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Frosinone6th place
COM 69%X 19%FRO 12%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Como lead by 141 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Como 0.6, Frosinone -0.4.
  • Como take 2.2 points per game at home.
  • If Como score first, they win 86% of the time
  • If Frosinone score first, they win 36% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals2.3 – 0.9
Over 2.562%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
169%1.46X19%5.15212%8.38
Double chance
1X88%1.14X231%3.191281%1.24
Goals
Over 2.562%1.61Under 2.538%2.64BTTS yes54%1.86BTTS no46%2.16

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
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5
Rows: Como · Columns: Frosinone2-0 probability 10.9%

Form

Compare →
ComoDWWWW

Head to head

Frosinone – Como20 September 20262-0