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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Serie A · Matchday 32Sunday 18 April · 17:30 · U-Power Stadium
Monza16th place
Rinvalo prediction1-3High confidence
Inter2nd place
MON 9%X 15%INT 76%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Inter lead by 365 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Inter 2.4 points per game, Monza 0.6.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Inter 1.6, Monza 0.1.
  • If Monza score first, they win 27% of the time
  • If Inter score first, they win 89% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 2%
Expected goals1.1 – 3.1
Over 2.579%
Both teams score64%
Likeliest score1-3
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
19%10.63X15%6.73276%1.32
Double chance
1X24%4.12X291%1.101285%1.17
Goals
Over 2.579%1.27Under 2.521%4.76BTTS yes64%1.55BTTS no36%2.82

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Monza · Columns: Inter1-3 probability 8.2%

Form

Compare →
MonzaLWLLL
InterWWWWL

Head to head

Inter – Monza22 August 20264-1
Inter – Monza8 March 20253-2
Monza – Inter15 September 20241-1
Monza – Inter13 January 20241-5
Inter – Monza19 August 20232-0
Inter – Monza15 April 20230-1