TR
Picks
Serie A · Matchday 32Sunday 18 April · 17:30 · Stadio Pierluigi Penzo
Venezia20th place
Rinvalo prediction0-2High confidence
Juventus7th place
VEN 13%X 20%JUV 68%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Juventus lead by 256 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Juventus 0.8, Venezia -0.6.
  • Juventus take 1.8 points per game away.
  • If Venezia score first, they win 40% of the time
  • If Juventus score first, they win 87% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals0.7 – 1.9
Over 2.547%
Both teams score41%
Likeliest score0-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
113%7.98X20%5.03268%1.48
Double chance
1X32%3.08X287%1.141280%1.25
Goals
Over 2.547%2.12Under 2.553%1.89BTTS yes41%2.42BTTS no59%1.71

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Venezia · Columns: Juventus0-2 probability 14.1%
VeneziaLWLLL

Head to head

Venezia – Juventus25 May 20252-3
Juventus – Venezia14 December 20242-2
Juventus – Venezia1 May 20222-1
Venezia – Juventus11 December 20211-1