VEN 13%X 20%JUV 68%
Prediction
Key factors
- Juventus lead by 256 rating points.
- xG difference over the last 10: Juventus 0.8, Venezia -0.6.
- Juventus take 1.8 points per game away.
- If Venezia score first, they win 40% of the time
- If Juventus score first, they win 87% of the time
- Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals0.7 – 1.9
Over 2.547%
Both teams score41%
Likeliest score0-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
113%7.98X20%5.03268%1.48
Double chance
1X32%3.08X287%1.141280%1.25
Goals
Over 2.547%2.12Under 2.553%1.89BTTS yes41%2.42BTTS no59%1.71
Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.
Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Venezia · Columns: Juventus0-2 probability 14.1%
Form
Compare →Head to head
Venezia – Juventus25 May 20252-3
Juventus – Venezia14 December 20242-2
Juventus – Venezia1 May 20222-1
Venezia – Juventus11 December 20211-1
Venezia20th place
Juventus7th place