TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Eredivisie · Matchday 27Sunday 21 March · 16:00 · Cars Jeans Stadion
ADO Den Haag17th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Willem II18th place
ADO 55%X 25%WIL 20%

Prediction

Key factors
  • ADO Den Haag lead by 111 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: ADO Den Haag 1.0 points per game, Willem II 0.0.
  • If ADO Den Haag score first, they win 78% of the time
  • If Willem II score first, they win 48% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals2.0 – 1.2
Over 2.561%
Both teams score60%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a ADO Den Haag win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
155%1.83X25%4.04220%4.89
Double chance
1X80%1.26X245%2.211275%1.33
Goals
Over 2.561%1.64Under 2.539%2.57BTTS yes60%1.66BTTS no40%2.52

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: ADO Den Haag · Columns: Willem II1-1 probability 10.6%

Form

Compare →