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Eredivisie · Matchday 27Sunday 21 March · 16:00 · De Grolsch Veste
Twente4th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Go Ahead Eagles10th place
TWE 72%X 18%GAE 10%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Twente lead by 196 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Twente 1.6, Go Ahead Eagles 0.0.
  • Last 5 games: Twente 2.0 points per game, Go Ahead Eagles 1.0.
  • If Twente score first, they win 88% of the time
  • If Go Ahead Eagles score first, they win 32% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.5 – 0.9
Over 2.567%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
172%1.39X18%5.52210%9.94
Double chance
1X90%1.11X228%3.551282%1.22
Goals
Over 2.567%1.50Under 2.533%3.01BTTS yes55%1.81BTTS no45%2.24

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Twente · Columns: Go Ahead Eagles2-0 probability 10.3%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Go Ahead Eagles – Twente8 March 20261-4
Twente – Go Ahead Eagles14 December 20252-0
Go Ahead Eagles – Twente2 February 20252-2
Twente – Go Ahead Eagles1 December 20243-2
Twente – Go Ahead Eagles25 February 20243-0
Go Ahead Eagles – Twente3 December 20231-3