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Eredivisie · Matchday 27Sunday 21 March · 16:00 · 711 Stadion
Telstar16th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Fortuna Sittard6th place
TEL 46%X 26%FOR 28%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Telstar -0.7, Fortuna Sittard -1.3.
  • If Telstar score first, they win 72% of the time
  • If Fortuna Sittard score first, they win 56% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.3
Over 2.557%
Both teams score60%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Telstar win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
146%2.19X26%3.79228%3.57
Double chance
1X72%1.39X254%1.841274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.557%1.74Under 2.543%2.35BTTS yes60%1.67BTTS no40%2.50

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Telstar · Columns: Fortuna Sittard1-1 probability 11.8%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Fortuna Sittard – Telstar8 March 20261-4
Telstar – Fortuna Sittard14 September 20251-3