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La Liga · Matchday 36Sunday 16 May · 16:00 · Estadio Abanca-Riazor
Deportivo13th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Alavés10th place
DEP 38%X 29%ALA 33%

Prediction

  • If Deportivo score first, they win 69% of the time
  • If Alavés score first, they win 65% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.2
Over 2.544%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Deportivo win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
138%2.65X29%3.41233%3.04
Double chance
1X67%1.49X262%1.611271%1.42
Goals
Over 2.544%2.25Under 2.556%1.80BTTS yes51%1.97BTTS no49%2.03

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Deportivo · Columns: Alavés1-1 probability 13.8%

Form

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