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La Liga · Matchday 36Sunday 16 May · 16:00 · Estadio Martínez Valero
Elche17th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Athletic Bilbao7th place
ELC 35%X 28%ATH 37%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Athletic Bilbao 0.4, Elche -0.7.
  • If Elche score first, they win 66% of the time
  • If Athletic Bilbao score first, they win 67% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.3
Over 2.547%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Athletic Bilbao win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
135%2.87X28%3.51237%2.73
Double chance
1X63%1.58X265%1.531272%1.40
Goals
Over 2.547%2.14Under 2.553%1.88BTTS yes53%1.90BTTS no47%2.11

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Elche · Columns: Athletic Bilbao1-1 probability 13.6%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Athletic Bilbao – Elche12 September 20261-1
Athletic Bilbao – Elche20 February 20262-1
Elche – Athletic Bilbao19 October 20250-0
Athletic Bilbao – Elche28 May 20230-1
Elche – Athletic Bilbao11 September 20221-4
Athletic Bilbao – Elche3 April 20222-1