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La Liga · Matchday 36Sunday 16 May · 16:00 · Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Sevilla6th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Villarreal8th place
SEV 32%X 28%VIL 41%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Villarreal 1.1, Sevilla -0.4.
  • Villarreal lead by 81 rating points.
  • If Sevilla score first, they win 61% of the time
  • If Villarreal score first, they win 68% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.5
Over 2.555%
Both teams score59%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Villarreal win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
132%3.17X28%3.59241%2.46
Double chance
1X59%1.68X268%1.461272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.555%1.82Under 2.545%2.23BTTS yes59%1.70BTTS no41%2.43

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Sevilla · Columns: Villarreal1-1 probability 12.4%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Villarreal – Sevilla13 May 20262-3
Sevilla – Villarreal23 September 20251-2
Villarreal – Sevilla25 May 20254-2
Sevilla – Villarreal23 August 20241-2
Villarreal – Sevilla11 May 20243-2
Sevilla – Villarreal3 December 20231-1