TR
Picks
La Liga · Matchday 36Sunday 16 May · 16:00 · RCDE Stadium
Espanyol14th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Valencia19th place
ESP 41%X 30%VAL 29%

Prediction

  • If Espanyol score first, they win 72% of the time
  • If Valencia score first, they win 63% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.0
Over 2.541%
Both teams score47%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Espanyol win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
141%2.43X30%3.38229%3.42
Double chance
1X71%1.41X259%1.701270%1.42
Goals
Over 2.541%2.46Under 2.559%1.68BTTS yes47%2.11BTTS no53%1.90

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Espanyol · Columns: Valencia1-1 probability 14.0%

Head to head

Valencia – Espanyol24 January 20263-2
Espanyol – Valencia23 September 20252-2
Valencia – Espanyol22 April 20251-1
Espanyol – Valencia18 December 20241-1
Valencia – Espanyol28 May 20232-2
Espanyol – Valencia2 October 20222-2