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La Liga · Matchday 19Sunday 10 January · 16:00 · Estadio Abanca-Riazor
Deportivo13th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Rayo Vallecano11th place
DEP 36%X 29%RAY 35%

Prediction

  • If Deportivo score first, they win 68% of the time
  • If Rayo Vallecano score first, they win 66% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.2
Over 2.544%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Deportivo win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
136%2.76X29%3.44235%2.88
Double chance
1X65%1.53X264%1.571271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.544%2.29Under 2.556%1.78BTTS yes50%1.99BTTS no50%2.01

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Deportivo · Columns: Rayo Vallecano1-1 probability 13.9%

Form

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