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La Liga · Matchday 19Sunday 10 January · 16:00 · Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Real Madrid3rd place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Levante18th place
RMA 81%X 13%LEV 6%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Real Madrid lead by 253 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Real Madrid 1.4, Levante -0.5.
  • Last 5 games: Real Madrid 2.4 points per game, Levante 1.0.
  • If Real Madrid score first, they win 93% of the time
  • If Levante score first, they win 23% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals2.9 – 0.7
Over 2.569%
Both teams score48%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
181%1.23X13%7.6526%17.21
Double chance
1X94%1.06X219%5.291287%1.15
Goals
Over 2.569%1.44Under 2.531%3.28BTTS yes48%2.07BTTS no52%1.93

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Real Madrid · Columns: Levante2-0 probability 11.5%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Real Madrid – Levante17 January 20262-0
Levante – Real Madrid23 September 20251-4
Real Madrid – Levante12 May 20226-0
Levante – Real Madrid22 August 20213-3