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La Liga · Matchday 19Sunday 10 January · 16:00 · Estadio de Mestalla
Valencia19th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Málaga20th place
VAL 57%X 25%MAL 17%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Valencia lead by 89 rating points.
  • If Valencia score first, they win 82% of the time
  • If Málaga score first, they win 48% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.7 – 0.8
Over 2.545%
Both teams score45%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
157%1.74X25%3.93217%5.84
Double chance
1X83%1.21X243%2.351275%1.34
Goals
Over 2.545%2.23Under 2.555%1.81BTTS yes45%2.20BTTS no55%1.83

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Valencia · Columns: Málaga1-0 probability 13.4%

Form

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MálagaLDLDL