TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
La Liga · Matchday 19Sunday 10 January · 16:00 · Estadio El Sadar
Osasuna15th place
Rinvalo prediction0-2High confidence
Barcelona1st place
OSA 10%X 16%BAR 74%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Barcelona lead by 359 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Barcelona 2.2, Osasuna 0.1.
  • Last 5 games: Barcelona 2.4 points per game, Osasuna 0.8.
  • If Osasuna score first, they win 30% of the time
  • If Barcelona score first, they win 88% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals1.0 – 2.7
Over 2.571%
Both teams score58%
Likeliest score0-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
110%9.76X16%6.17274%1.36
Double chance
1X26%3.78X290%1.111284%1.19
Goals
Over 2.571%1.41Under 2.529%3.45BTTS yes58%1.72BTTS no42%2.39

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Osasuna · Columns: Barcelona0-2 probability 9.3%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Osasuna – Barcelona2 May 20261-2
Barcelona – Osasuna13 December 20252-0
Barcelona – Osasuna27 March 20253-0
Osasuna – Barcelona28 September 20244-2
Barcelona – Osasuna31 January 20241-0
Osasuna – Barcelona3 September 20231-2