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La Liga · Matchday 19Sunday 10 January · 16:00 · Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Sevilla6th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Celta Vigo10th place
SEV 41%X 29%CEL 29%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Sevilla take 2.0 points per game at home.
  • If Sevilla score first, they win 71% of the time
  • If Celta Vigo score first, they win 61% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.1
Over 2.545%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Sevilla win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
141%2.41X29%3.42229%3.42
Double chance
1X71%1.41X259%1.711271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.545%2.20Under 2.555%1.83BTTS yes51%1.95BTTS no49%2.05

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Sevilla · Columns: Celta Vigo1-1 probability 13.6%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Celta Vigo – Sevilla23 May 20261-0
Sevilla – Celta Vigo12 January 20260-1
Celta Vigo – Sevilla10 May 20253-2
Sevilla – Celta Vigo14 December 20241-0
Sevilla – Celta Vigo17 March 20241-2
Celta Vigo – Sevilla4 November 20231-1