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Bundesliga · Matchday 24Tuesday 2 March · 19:30 · Waldstadion Kaiserlinde
Elversberg7th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2High confidence
RB Leipzig4th place
SVE 20%X 22%RBL 58%

Prediction

Key factors
  • RB Leipzig lead by 128 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: RB Leipzig 1.0, Elversberg -0.7.
  • If Elversberg score first, they win 44% of the time
  • If RB Leipzig score first, they win 78% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals1.4 – 2.4
Over 2.572%
Both teams score68%
Likeliest score1-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
120%5.10X22%4.51258%1.72
Double chance
1X42%2.39X280%1.241278%1.29
Goals
Over 2.572%1.39Under 2.528%3.56BTTS yes68%1.47BTTS no32%3.13

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
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Rows: Elversberg · Columns: RB Leipzig1-2 probability 9.2%

Form

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Head to head

RB Leipzig – Elversberg24 October 20264-0