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Bundesliga · Matchday 24Tuesday 2 March · 19:30 · Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Union Berlin16th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Augsburg10th place
FCU 40%X 27%FCA 33%

Prediction

  • If Union Berlin score first, they win 68% of the time
  • If Augsburg score first, they win 62% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.3
Over 2.552%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Union Berlin win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
140%2.52X27%3.66233%3.04
Double chance
1X67%1.49X260%1.661273%1.38
Goals
Over 2.552%1.91Under 2.548%2.10BTTS yes57%1.76BTTS no43%2.32

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Union Berlin · Columns: Augsburg1-1 probability 12.8%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Augsburg – Union Berlin24 October 20261-1
Union Berlin – Augsburg16 May 20264-0
Augsburg – Union Berlin15 January 20261-1
Augsburg – Union Berlin17 May 20251-2
Union Berlin – Augsburg15 January 20250-2
Augsburg – Union Berlin12 April 20242-0