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Bundesliga · Matchday 24Tuesday 2 March · 19:30 · VELTINS-Arena
Schalke 0417th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Köln13th place
S04 28%X 29%KOE 43%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Köln -0.1, Schalke 04 -1.2.
  • If Schalke 04 score first, they win 62% of the time
  • If Köln score first, they win 74% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 12%
Expected goals1.0 – 1.3
Over 2.538%
Both teams score45%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Köln win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
128%3.54X29%3.46243%2.33
Double chance
1X57%1.75X272%1.391271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.538%2.63Under 2.562%1.61BTTS yes45%2.22BTTS no55%1.82

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Schalke 04 · Columns: Köln1-1 probability 14.1%

Form

Compare →
KölnLWLDD

Head to head

Köln – Schalke 0424 October 20260-0
Schalke 04 – Köln29 January 20230-0
Köln – Schalke 047 August 20223-1