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Bundesliga · Matchday 24Tuesday 2 March · 19:30 · Volksparkstadion
Hamburg15th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Paderborn14th place
HSV 48%X 28%SCP 24%

Prediction

  • If Hamburg score first, they win 77% of the time
  • If Paderborn score first, they win 58% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.4 – 0.9
Over 2.539%
Both teams score45%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Hamburg win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
148%2.08X28%3.59224%4.17
Double chance
1X76%1.32X252%1.931272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.539%2.53Under 2.561%1.65BTTS yes45%2.23BTTS no55%1.81

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Hamburg · Columns: Paderborn1-1 probability 13.6%

Form

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Head to head

Paderborn – Hamburg24 October 20261-0