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Bundesliga · Matchday 24Tuesday 2 March · 19:30 · Stadion im Borussia-Park
M'gladbach18th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
Stuttgart11th place
BMG 26%X 24%VFB 49%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Stuttgart lead by 158 rating points.
  • If M'gladbach score first, they win 53% of the time
  • If Stuttgart score first, they win 73% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.9
Over 2.565%
Both teams score65%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Stuttgart win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
126%3.78X24%4.10249%2.03
Double chance
1X51%1.97X274%1.361276%1.32
Goals
Over 2.565%1.55Under 2.535%2.83BTTS yes65%1.54BTTS no35%2.86

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: M'gladbach · Columns: Stuttgart1-1 probability 10.3%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Stuttgart – M'gladbach23 October 20262-3
M'gladbach – Stuttgart25 January 20260-3
Stuttgart – M'gladbach30 August 20251-0
Stuttgart – M'gladbach1 February 20251-2
M'gladbach – Stuttgart14 September 20241-3
Stuttgart – M'gladbach18 May 20244-0