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Bundesliga · Matchday 24Tuesday 2 March · 19:30 · Deutsche Bank Park
Eintracht Frankfurt8th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Dortmund2nd place
SGE 29%X 26%BVB 46%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Dortmund lead by 177 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Dortmund 0.4, Eintracht Frankfurt -0.3.
  • Dortmund take 1.8 points per game away.
  • If Eintracht Frankfurt score first, they win 56% of the time
  • If Dortmund score first, they win 71% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.7
Over 2.560%
Both teams score62%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Dortmund win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
129%3.50X26%3.87246%2.19
Double chance
1X54%1.84X271%1.401274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.560%1.67Under 2.540%2.49BTTS yes62%1.61BTTS no38%2.63

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Eintracht Frankfurt · Columns: Dortmund1-1 probability 11.4%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Dortmund – Eintracht Frankfurt24 October 20261-0
Dortmund – Eintracht Frankfurt8 May 20263-2
Eintracht Frankfurt – Dortmund9 January 20263-3
Eintracht Frankfurt – Dortmund17 January 20252-0
Dortmund – Eintracht Frankfurt24 August 20242-0
Dortmund – Eintracht Frankfurt17 March 20243-1