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Bundesliga · Matchday 22Saturday 20 February · 14:30 · Waldstadion Kaiserlinde
Elversberg7th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Union Berlin16th place
SVE 43%X 27%FCU 29%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Elversberg take 2.2 points per game at home.
  • If Elversberg score first, they win 70% of the time
  • If Union Berlin score first, they win 57% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.4
Over 2.562%
Both teams score64%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Elversberg win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
143%2.30X27%3.69229%3.40
Double chance
1X71%1.42X256%1.771273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.562%1.62Under 2.538%2.61BTTS yes64%1.57BTTS no36%2.75

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Elversberg · Columns: Union Berlin1-1 probability 11.1%

Form

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Head to head

Union Berlin – Elversberg10 October 20261-0