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Bundesliga · Matchday 22Saturday 20 February · 14:30 · Stadion im Borussia-Park
M'gladbach18th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Köln13th place
BMG 40%X 27%KOE 32%

Prediction

  • If M'gladbach score first, they win 68% of the time
  • If Köln score first, they win 61% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.3
Over 2.555%
Both teams score59%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a M'gladbach win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
140%2.48X27%3.65232%3.10
Double chance
1X68%1.48X260%1.681273%1.38
Goals
Over 2.555%1.83Under 2.545%2.21BTTS yes59%1.70BTTS no41%2.42

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: M'gladbach · Columns: Köln1-1 probability 12.4%

Form

Compare →
KölnLWLDD

Head to head

Köln – M'gladbach11 October 20262-1
Köln – M'gladbach21 March 20263-3
M'gladbach – Köln8 November 20253-1
M'gladbach – Köln9 March 20243-3
Köln – M'gladbach22 October 20233-1
Köln – M'gladbach2 April 20230-0