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Bundesliga · Matchday 22Saturday 20 February · 14:30 · Deutsche Bank Park
Eintracht Frankfurt8th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
RB Leipzig4th place
SGE 29%X 25%RBL 46%

Prediction

Key factors
  • RB Leipzig lead by 100 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: RB Leipzig 1.0, Eintracht Frankfurt -0.3.
  • If Eintracht Frankfurt score first, they win 55% of the time
  • If RB Leipzig score first, they win 70% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.9
Over 2.567%
Both teams score68%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a RB Leipzig win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
129%3.47X25%3.99246%2.17
Double chance
1X54%1.85X271%1.411275%1.33
Goals
Over 2.567%1.48Under 2.533%3.07BTTS yes68%1.48BTTS no32%3.10

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Eintracht Frankfurt · Columns: RB Leipzig1-1 probability 9.9%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

RB Leipzig – Eintracht Frankfurt10 October 20266-0
Eintracht Frankfurt – RB Leipzig18 April 20261-3
RB Leipzig – Eintracht Frankfurt6 December 20256-0
Eintracht Frankfurt – RB Leipzig26 April 20254-0
RB Leipzig – Eintracht Frankfurt15 December 20242-1
Eintracht Frankfurt – RB Leipzig18 May 20242-2