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Bundesliga · Matchday 22Saturday 20 February · 14:30 · MHP Arena
Stuttgart11th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Paderborn14th place
VFB 69%X 19%SCP 11%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Stuttgart lead by 140 rating points.
  • If Stuttgart score first, they win 88% of the time
  • If Paderborn score first, they win 37% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals2.1 – 0.7
Over 2.552%
Both teams score44%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
169%1.44X19%5.17211%8.93
Double chance
1X89%1.13X231%3.281281%1.24
Goals
Over 2.552%1.91Under 2.548%2.09BTTS yes44%2.26BTTS no56%1.79

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Stuttgart · Columns: Paderborn2-0 probability 13.6%

Form

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Head to head

Paderborn – Stuttgart10 October 20260-2