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Primeira Liga · Matchday 13Sunday 6 December · 16:00 · Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Estoril18th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Medium confidence
Vitória de Guimarães13th place
EST 30%X 28%VSC 43%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Vitória de Guimarães 0.6, Estoril -0.6.
  • Vitória de Guimarães lead by 69 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Vitória de Guimarães 1.0 points per game, Estoril 0.0.
  • If Estoril score first, they win 60% of the time
  • If Vitória de Guimarães score first, they win 71% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.5
Over 2.549%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Vitória de Guimarães win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
130%3.37X28%3.60243%2.35
Double chance
1X57%1.74X270%1.421272%1.38
Goals
Over 2.549%2.03Under 2.551%1.97BTTS yes54%1.85BTTS no46%2.18

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Estoril · Columns: Vitória de Guimarães1-1 probability 13.1%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Estoril – Vitória de Guimarães24 January 20264-2
Vitória de Guimarães – Estoril16 August 20253-2
Estoril – Vitória de Guimarães26 January 20251-0
Vitória de Guimarães – Estoril18 August 20241-0
Estoril – Vitória de Guimarães2 March 20241-3
Vitória de Guimarães – Estoril1 October 20233-2