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Primeira Liga · Matchday 13Sunday 6 December · 16:00 · Estádio de São Miguel
Santa Clara4th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1High confidence
Porto1st place
SCL 17%X 25%POR 58%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Porto lead by 212 rating points.
  • Porto take 2.5 points per game away.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Porto 1.4, Santa Clara 0.3.
  • If Santa Clara score first, they win 49% of the time
  • If Porto score first, they win 84% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals0.7 – 1.6
Over 2.540%
Both teams score41%
Likeliest score0-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
117%5.97X25%4.01258%1.71
Double chance
1X42%2.40X283%1.201275%1.33
Goals
Over 2.540%2.51Under 2.560%1.66BTTS yes41%2.45BTTS no59%1.69

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Santa Clara · Columns: Porto0-1 probability 15.3%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Porto – Santa Clara16 May 20261-0
Santa Clara – Porto4 January 20260-1
Porto – Santa Clara26 January 20251-1
Santa Clara – Porto16 August 20240-2
Porto – Santa Clara15 April 20232-1
Santa Clara – Porto29 October 20221-1