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Primeira Liga · Matchday 13Sunday 6 December · 16:00 · Estádio do Rio Ave FC
Rio Ave16th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Casa Pia17th place
RAV 41%X 29%CPA 30%

Prediction

  • If Rio Ave score first, they win 72% of the time
  • If Casa Pia score first, they win 62% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.1
Over 2.544%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Rio Ave win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
141%2.43X29%3.43230%3.38
Double chance
1X70%1.42X259%1.701271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.544%2.30Under 2.556%1.77BTTS yes50%2.01BTTS no50%1.99

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Rio Ave · Columns: Casa Pia1-1 probability 13.8%

Form

Compare →
Rio AveDLWLL

Head to head

Casa Pia – Rio Ave16 May 20261-1
Rio Ave – Casa Pia4 January 20263-1
Casa Pia – Rio Ave29 March 20252-1
Rio Ave – Casa Pia2 November 20242-2
Rio Ave – Casa Pia11 February 20241-0
Casa Pia – Rio Ave2 September 20231-1