TR
Picks
Primeira Liga · Matchday 13Sunday 6 December · 16:00 · Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho
Famalicão11th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Académico de Viseu6th place
FAM 48%X 28%ACV 24%

Prediction

  • If Famalicão score first, they win 77% of the time
  • If Académico de Viseu score first, they win 56% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.5 – 0.9
Over 2.543%
Both teams score48%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Famalicão win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
148%2.07X28%3.61224%4.18
Double chance
1X76%1.31X252%1.941272%1.38
Goals
Over 2.543%2.32Under 2.557%1.76BTTS yes48%2.09BTTS no52%1.92

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Famalicão · Columns: Académico de Viseu1-1 probability 13.3%