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Primeira Liga · Matchday 14Sunday 13 December · 16:00 · Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Estoril18th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Medium confidence
Santa Clara4th place
EST 26%X 29%SCL 45%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Santa Clara lead by 151 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Santa Clara 2.0 points per game, Estoril 0.0.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Santa Clara 0.3, Estoril -0.6.
  • If Estoril score first, they win 59% of the time
  • If Santa Clara score first, they win 75% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.0 – 1.4
Over 2.543%
Both teams score48%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Santa Clara win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
126%3.81X29%3.51245%2.21
Double chance
1X55%1.83X274%1.361271%1.40
Goals
Over 2.543%2.33Under 2.557%1.75BTTS yes48%2.06BTTS no52%1.94

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Estoril · Columns: Santa Clara1-1 probability 13.6%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Santa Clara – Estoril31 January 20262-4
Estoril – Santa Clara6 September 20250-1
Santa Clara – Estoril18 January 20252-3
Estoril – Santa Clara11 August 20241-4
Estoril – Santa Clara30 April 20233-0
Santa Clara – Estoril14 November 20223-1