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Primeira Liga · Matchday 14Sunday 13 December · 16:00 · Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
Gil Vicente10th place
Rinvalo prediction0-2High confidence
Sporting CP3rd place
GIL 18%X 23%SCP 59%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Sporting CP lead by 212 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Sporting CP 1.2, Gil Vicente 0.1.
  • Sporting CP take 2.2 points per game away.
  • If Gil Vicente score first, they win 46% of the time
  • If Sporting CP score first, they win 81% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals0.9 – 1.9
Over 2.554%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-2 is the likeliest score within a Sporting CP win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
118%5.60X23%4.35259%1.69
Double chance
1X41%2.45X282%1.221277%1.30
Goals
Over 2.554%1.86Under 2.546%2.16BTTS yes52%1.91BTTS no48%2.10

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Gil Vicente · Columns: Sporting CP1-1 probability 11.2%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Sporting CP – Gil Vicente16 May 20263-0
Gil Vicente – Sporting CP2 January 20261-1
Sporting CP – Gil Vicente4 May 20252-1
Gil Vicente – Sporting CP22 December 20240-0
Gil Vicente – Sporting CP12 April 20240-4
Sporting CP – Gil Vicente4 December 20233-1