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Primeira Liga · Matchday 14Sunday 13 December · 16:00 · Estádio Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Moreirense8th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Famalicão11th place
MOR 30%X 29%FAM 41%

Prediction

  • If Moreirense score first, they win 63% of the time
  • If Famalicão score first, they win 71% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.3
Over 2.543%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Famalicão win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
130%3.30X29%3.44241%2.46
Double chance
1X59%1.69X270%1.431271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.543%2.33Under 2.557%1.75BTTS yes49%2.03BTTS no51%1.97

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Moreirense · Columns: Famalicão1-1 probability 13.9%

Form

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Head to head

Famalicão – Moreirense10 April 20261-1
Moreirense – Famalicão29 November 20252-2
Famalicão – Moreirense23 February 20252-0
Moreirense – Famalicão21 September 20240-0
Moreirense – Famalicão28 January 20241-0
Famalicão – Moreirense21 August 20230-0