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Primeira Liga · Matchday 11Friday 6 November · 20:45 · Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho
Famalicão11th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Arouca5th place
FAM 39%X 30%ARO 31%

Prediction

  • If Famalicão score first, they win 70% of the time
  • If Arouca score first, they win 64% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.1
Over 2.543%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Famalicão win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
139%2.55X30%3.39231%3.21
Double chance
1X69%1.45X261%1.651270%1.42
Goals
Over 2.543%2.31Under 2.557%1.76BTTS yes50%2.01BTTS no50%1.99

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Famalicão · Columns: Arouca1-1 probability 13.9%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Famalicão – Arouca6 March 20261-0
Arouca – Famalicão5 October 20251-1
Arouca – Famalicão5 April 20251-2
Famalicão – Arouca9 November 20240-0
Arouca – Famalicão23 February 20243-2
Famalicão – Arouca22 September 20231-0