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Primeira Liga · Matchday 11Sunday 8 November · 20:30 · Estádio do Rio Ave FC
Rio Ave16th place
Rinvalo prediction0-2High confidence
Braga7th place
RAV 17%X 23%SCB 60%

What's at stake

Rio AveRelegation25%34%39%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Braga lead by 183 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Braga 0.6, Rio Ave -1.0.
  • If Rio Ave score first, they win 44% of the time
  • If Braga score first, they win 82% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.0 – 2.0
Over 2.556%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-2 is the likeliest score within a Braga win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
117%5.89X23%4.44260%1.65
Double chance
1X40%2.53X283%1.201277%1.29
Goals
Over 2.556%1.78Under 2.544%2.29BTTS yes54%1.86BTTS no46%2.17

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Rio Ave · Columns: Braga1-1 probability 10.8%

Form

Compare →
Rio AveDLWLL
BragaWDLLW

Head to head

Braga – Rio Ave8 February 20263-0
Rio Ave – Braga31 August 20252-2
Rio Ave – Braga2 March 20252-1
Braga – Rio Ave29 September 20244-0
Rio Ave – Braga9 March 20240-0
Braga – Rio Ave7 October 20232-1