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Primeira Liga · Matchday 11Saturday 7 November · 15:30 · Estádio da Madeira
Nacional15th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Académico de Viseu6th place
NAC 37%X 28%ACV 36%

What's at stake

NacionalRelegation15%22%28%

Prediction

  • If Nacional score first, they win 67% of the time
  • If Académico de Viseu score first, they win 66% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.3
Over 2.547%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Nacional win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
137%2.72X28%3.61236%2.81
Double chance
1X64%1.55X263%1.581272%1.38
Goals
Over 2.547%2.13Under 2.553%1.88BTTS yes53%1.90BTTS no47%2.12

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Nacional · Columns: Académico de Viseu1-1 probability 13.6%

Form

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