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Primeira Liga · Matchday 11Sunday 8 November · 15:30 · Estádio de São Miguel
Santa Clara4th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Gil Vicente10th place
SCL 38%X 31%GIL 30%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Santa Clara take 2.0 points per game at home.
  • If Santa Clara score first, they win 73% of the time
  • If Gil Vicente score first, they win 67% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 14%
Expected goals1.1 – 0.9
Over 2.533%
Both teams score41%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Santa Clara win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
138%2.61X31%3.18230%3.30
Double chance
1X70%1.43X262%1.621269%1.46
Goals
Over 2.533%3.01Under 2.567%1.50BTTS yes41%2.42BTTS no59%1.71

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Santa Clara · Columns: Gil Vicente1-1 probability 14.4%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Santa Clara – Gil Vicente21 March 20261-0
Gil Vicente – Santa Clara3 November 20251-0
Gil Vicente – Santa Clara15 March 20250-1
Santa Clara – Gil Vicente25 October 20242-1
Santa Clara – Gil Vicente6 May 20233-2
Gil Vicente – Santa Clara29 December 20221-0