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Eredivisie · Matchday 30Sunday 25 April · 16:00 · Stadion Feyenoord
Feyenoord1st place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Sparta Rotterdam11th place
FEY 74%X 17%SPA 9%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Feyenoord lead by 236 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Feyenoord 1.6, Sparta Rotterdam 0.3.
  • Last 5 games: Feyenoord 2.2 points per game, Sparta Rotterdam 1.4.
  • If Feyenoord score first, they win 89% of the time
  • If Sparta Rotterdam score first, they win 29% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals2.7 – 0.9
Over 2.570%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
174%1.35X17%5.9629%11.24
Double chance
1X91%1.10X226%3.891283%1.20
Goals
Over 2.570%1.44Under 2.530%3.29BTTS yes56%1.79BTTS no44%2.26

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
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5
Rows: Feyenoord · Columns: Sparta Rotterdam2-0 probability 10.0%

Form

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Head to head

Sparta Rotterdam – Feyenoord9 August 20260-1
Feyenoord – Sparta Rotterdam18 January 20263-4
Sparta Rotterdam – Feyenoord31 August 20250-4
Feyenoord – Sparta Rotterdam8 February 20253-0
Sparta Rotterdam – Feyenoord25 August 20241-1
Feyenoord – Sparta Rotterdam11 February 20242-0