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Eredivisie · Matchday 30Sunday 25 April · 16:00 · De Adelaarshorst
Go Ahead Eagles10th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Utrecht12th place
GAE 39%X 26%UTR 35%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Go Ahead Eagles 0.0, Utrecht -0.6.
  • If Go Ahead Eagles score first, they win 65% of the time
  • If Utrecht score first, they win 61% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.6
Over 2.565%
Both teams score67%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Go Ahead Eagles win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
139%2.58X26%3.79235%2.87
Double chance
1X65%1.53X261%1.631274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.565%1.53Under 2.535%2.89BTTS yes67%1.49BTTS no33%3.02

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Go Ahead Eagles · Columns: Utrecht1-1 probability 10.5%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Utrecht – Go Ahead Eagles8 September 20263-3
Utrecht – Go Ahead Eagles22 March 20262-0
Go Ahead Eagles – Utrecht30 November 20252-2
Go Ahead Eagles – Utrecht6 April 20252-2
Utrecht – Go Ahead Eagles15 December 20243-3
Utrecht – Go Ahead Eagles14 April 20242-1