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Eredivisie · Matchday 30Sunday 25 April · 16:00 · Abe Lenstra Stadion
Heerenveen7th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
ADO Den Haag17th place
HEE 64%X 22%ADO 14%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Heerenveen lead by 165 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Heerenveen 2.4 points per game, ADO Den Haag 1.0.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Heerenveen 0.2, ADO Den Haag -0.7.
  • If Heerenveen score first, they win 84% of the time
  • If ADO Den Haag score first, they win 41% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.1 – 0.9
Over 2.558%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
164%1.57X22%4.54214%7.03
Double chance
1X86%1.17X236%2.761278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.558%1.73Under 2.542%2.38BTTS yes53%1.88BTTS no47%2.13

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
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Rows: Heerenveen · Columns: ADO Den Haag2-0 probability 10.8%

Form

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Head to head

ADO Den Haag – Heerenveen24 October 20262-3