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Bundesliga · Matchday 17Saturday 16 January · 14:30 · Deutsche Bank Park
Eintracht Frankfurt8th place
Rinvalo prediction1-3High confidence
Bayern Munich1st place
SGE 11%X 16%FCB 74%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Bayern Munich lead by 274 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Bayern Munich 2.4, Eintracht Frankfurt -0.3.
  • Bayern Munich take 2.4 points per game away.
  • If Eintracht Frankfurt score first, they win 29% of the time
  • If Bayern Munich score first, they win 87% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 1%
Expected goals1.3 – 3.2
Over 2.582%
Both teams score70%
Likeliest score1-3
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
111%9.16X16%6.44274%1.36
Double chance
1X26%3.78X289%1.121284%1.18
Goals
Over 2.582%1.21Under 2.518%5.66BTTS yes70%1.43BTTS no30%3.32

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Eintracht Frankfurt · Columns: Bayern Munich1-3 probability 7.9%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Bayern Munich – Eintracht Frankfurt21 February 20263-2
Eintracht Frankfurt – Bayern Munich4 October 20250-3
Bayern Munich – Eintracht Frankfurt23 February 20254-0
Eintracht Frankfurt – Bayern Munich6 October 20243-3
Bayern Munich – Eintracht Frankfurt27 April 20242-1
Eintracht Frankfurt – Bayern Munich9 December 20235-1