TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Bundesliga · Matchday 17Saturday 16 January · 14:30 · Home Deluxe Arena
Paderborn14th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Köln13th place
SCP 35%X 29%KOE 36%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Köln -0.1, Paderborn -0.6.
  • If Paderborn score first, they win 67% of the time
  • If Köln score first, they win 68% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.1
Over 2.540%
Both teams score47%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Köln win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
135%2.86X29%3.40236%2.81
Double chance
1X64%1.55X265%1.541271%1.42
Goals
Over 2.540%2.52Under 2.560%1.66BTTS yes47%2.13BTTS no53%1.89

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Paderborn · Columns: Köln1-1 probability 14.2%

Form

Compare →
KölnLWLDD